China Not Yet Rebalancing
China has the world’s second-largest GDP, the world’s largest monetary base, and the world’s largest foreign exchange reserves. Its large internal and external economic imbalances can matter a great deal to the global economy. There are claims China is now rebalancing. It isn’t. Claims of rebalancing are based on the current account surplus, a broad measure of trade and other international activities that are concluded over a short period. China’s current account surplus with the world has fallen sharply as a percentage of GDP. However, the current account surplus tells … More